YOU:
Of course your horoscope is interesting. It is your cosmic signature. Yet it is only part of the story. Our personal history begins on a particular day, at a particular time, and in a particular place - factors that differentiate us from others and make us, and our 'cosmic signature or horoscope' unique. For some, a family myth surrounds the moment itself. We might, just possibly, know that we were born 'just before lunch' or 'in the middle of a thunderstorm'. The factual evidence that is our birth certificate records the date, place, and in many parts of the world, the local time. Often photographs show who was present and convey something of our personal social history. Barring interviews with those around at the time, or graphic pictorial evidence however, there may be no record of the local weather or the sights and sounds outside the actual room of our birth. We may eventually learn that we had a 'difficult start' or an 'easy birth', yet we know little of the collective thinking and pressures of the moment. Knowledge illuminates the time for us. A Birth Date newspaper sets us thinking about the ideas and hopes of the period, whilst relatives regale us with stories of what was happening for them at the time of our arrival.
AND THE SUN:
Of course, the Earth did not have actually stop
turning while our birth took place. It continued its twenty-four
hour-axial rotation. Similarly, it continued to move in its path
around the Sun. But the Sun - indeed, the whole solar-system -
moved too, sweeping through the sky at enormous speed. Within
just one hour of our birth we travelled 66,600 miles1. It is fascinating
to learn whether these were 'bumpy' miles, the universe being
a strange and arguably a dangerous place. If we arrive during
a period of freak activity we may consider this the norm and therefore
be ill at ease during times of calm. It is even possible that
we are unable to access our many talents until similar stressful
conditions recur.
You can check the condition of the Sun for any day through:
http://www.spaceweather.com/java/sunspot.html
SUNSPOTS:
Observations of the Sun over thousands of years
have shown that spots appear on its surface. Some days there may
be none, whilst at others times there may be as many as 200 or
more. Sunspots are curious. They appear in latitudinal bands about
40 degrees either side of the solar equator. One series begins
in the northern hemisphere and works down across the solar equator
to a position about 40 degrees latitude, with the next series
starting at this southernmost point and moving back up. Differentiating
one sunspot or cluster of sunspots from another is not easy. As
the Sun spins at different rates with some spots grouping together
or merging, confusion arises. Each series takes a little over
11 Earth years. From one north-start series to the next is approximately
22 years. There is, as yet, no general consensus as to what causes
sunspots to occur, but here is little doubt that the gravitational
pull exerted on the Sun by the planets plays a part.
The presence of a large number of sunspots has several effects.
Short-wave radio transmission can be disrupted for days at a time
when the maximum point in the sunspot cycle is reached - a potentially
serious difficulty for those travelling at latitude extremes or
across the seas8. Disturbances have also been noted in computer
technology and in the performance of orbiting satellites. These
disturbances in the sun also affect radio waves. Those travelling
in aircraft at a time of peak sunspot activity are subjected to
the equivalent of an X-ray during their journey. The Earth's electro-magnetic
field too is affected by changes in sunspot number - a fact that
may be of interest to those studying Earth movement, volcanic
eruptions and earthquakes9.
It is perfectly possible that sunspots affect all of us to a greater
or lesser extent. An interesting piece of medical research showed
that in 72 per cent of 237 cases10, a major change in patients'
condition occurred on days of high sunspot activity and when these
sunspots were at minimum latitude. This latter comment is interesting
in that it implies that the actual latitude of the sunspots within
their cycle enhances any effect.
Further study - this time of the New York stock market11 - suggested
that the fewer the sunspots, the greater people's optimism or
lack of willingness to subject positive forecasts to intense scrutiny
and common sense. Thus, years when sunspot activity is at a minimum
are commonly bull-market years. By contrast, the greater the number
of sunspots, the more pessimistic and 'bearish' people become.
Knowledge of where we are within the sunspot cycle looks to have
special value for investors.
The actual sunspot activity on any given day varies widely. President
George W. Bush was born on 6 July 1946 during a solar maximum
period. The recorded sunspot activity for that day was 120. By
contrast, Prime Minister Tony Blair was born on 6 May 1953 at
the solar minimum. Only 8 sunspots were recorded that day12. These
facts alone might suggest that Blair is essentially an optimist.
Bush, on the other hand, may be better attuned to defensive mechanisms
on the basis that the worse is yet to come.
Given that the attitude of leaders has a great impact on a nation
during the period of their office, it is interesting to look at
the sunspot numbers applying on the dates of birth of key leaders
of the twentieth century. Consider that Margaret Thatcher, Mao
Tse Tung and Theodor Roosevelt were all born, like George W. Bush,
within periods of high activity. The situation was very different
for Adolf Hitler (no sunspots) and Churchill (low sunspot activity).
In the case of the latter two, there was an assumption - perhaps
even arrogance - that their vision would be achieved. Perhaps
it is the case that nil or low sunspot activity contributes to
clarity of purpose, whilst high activity allows for plural possibility.
This is far too simplistic of course. Yet, it may be of interest
to look at the activity applying on important dates and to see
if it falls within the mean of a period, or is exceptional.
The start of the 21ST century has seen a curious phenomenon in
the sunspot cycle. The expected peak occurred but, unusually,
a 'double top' followed, i.e. sunspots hit a record high, reduced
over subsequent days, and then reached that earlier high level
once more. Further, in October 2003, two giant sunspots were identified13.
Solar scientists could not recall a previous occasion when such
activity had occurred. Clearly something unusual is occurring,
suggesting some disturbance in the natural sunspot rhythm. The
11.2-year cycle moves from low to high and returns to low activity,
although the numbers of sunspots do not replicate. Indeed, the
high numbers (200+ per day) recorded in the opening months of
the 21ST century have not been witnessed since 198014. Had the
cycle worked as in the past, the high would have been reached
and then there would have been a slow tailing off until the minimum
was reached in around six years later. The fact that this did
not occur might suggest that anticipated lows will not be reached
until a little later - say 2008. From there the phase would move
upward again, reaching sunspot highs in 2013/14 and lows at the
end of our twenty-year period around 2020.
In terms of stock market movement we might conclude a general
bullish trend as the sunspot numbers drop, into 2007/8, and a
bear-trend period roughly six years later as maximum levels are
reached once more. This assumes, of course, that the cycle follows
its usual pattern. Any change in the cycle warrants our close
attention if we are to draw any conclusions or make investment
decisions based on it. The last time the 'double top' phenomenon
was observed was in the opening years of the 20TH century15. A
little over a decade later the number of sunspots had tailed off
to reach solar minimum in 191416. As we know, all hell broke loose
that year as World War broke out. It is not inconceivable that
the same could occur in the early years of this new century. As
the number of sunspots falls from this double-peak activity, the
potential for hostilities between nations increases. Indeed, this
particular perspective on the correlation between aggravated activity
on Earth and cosmic tension is just one of several to signal a
problematic period at the end of the first decade of the new Millennium.
Some scientists have speculated that the wide variation in the
numbers of sunspots occurring at any time is a factor in terrestrial
climate change. Between the years 1645 and 1715 (the Maunder Minimum17)
virtually no sunspots were sighted. However, in any given 30-year
period over the past hundred years, 40,000 - 50,000 sunspots have
been recorded18. Between 1672 and 1699, the scientist Sporer found
less than 50 to have been observed19. Some have drawn the conclusion
that this lack of activity was a major contributory factor in
the colder weather experienced on the Earth through the period.
Such a period has not recurred - but presumably, could. We know
that a solar minimum period is due around 2007. Should this see
the start of a prolonged period devoid of sunspots entirely -
and this is something we would know quickly - major adjustments
in thinking would be necessary. Should such conditions occur,
investors in particular might want to take immediate action.
Predicting solar activity is a science still in its infancy. Further
studies will need to be undertaken before it can be determined
whether or not the solar latitudes at which sunspots occur have
a correlation with life on Earth. What is important for the moment
is that we are aware of the value of information about solar power
- in all its many forms.